Centro Sportivo Comunale Angelo Volonte · Referee F. Lata · Analysis updated 18:02 UTC
Como U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Como U19 and 1.87 for RB Leipzig U19, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives RB Leipzig U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.0% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Como U19 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RB Leipzig U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 37% / 22% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Como U19 and 1.87 for RB Leipzig U19, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.1%
Recent form
Como U19
- 2026-05-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Empoli U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Virtus Entella U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Modena U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Brescia U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Venezia U19 · 2-0 (W)
RB Leipzig U19
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:05:00.000Z · H vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 3-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.