Concordia Basel vs Schötz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.94 expected goals for Concordia Basel and 1.82 for Schötz, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Concordia Basel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Concordia Basel home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Schötz away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Concordia Basel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.94 goals for Concordia Basel and 1.82 for Schötz, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Concordia Basel win42%

Draw21%

Schötz win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–18.2%
2–18.0%
1–27.5%
2–27.3%
3–15.2%

Recent form

Concordia Basel

2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Buochs · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshopper II · 5-2 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Muri-Gümligen · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 2-0 (W)

Schötz

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tuggen · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bassecourt · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-30T18:15:00.000Z · A vs FC Wohlen · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Thun II · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Black Stars · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Langenthal	11	7	3	1	9	24
2	Courtételle	11	7	1	3	11	22
3	Schötz	11	6	2	3	11	20
4	Muttenz	11	6	2	3	6	20
5	Solothurn	11	6	1	4	7	19
6	Delémont	11	5	3	3	7	18
7	Concordia Basel	11	5	2	4	6	17
8	Buochs	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Muri-Gümligen	11	5	1	5	-3	16
10	Grasshopper II	11	5	0	6	-3	15
11	Zug	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	Bassecourt	11	4	1	6	-8	13
13	Thun II	11	3	3	5	-5	12
14	FC Wohlen	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Black Stars	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Münsingen	11	0	2	9	-19	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.