World · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · Group stage — 118:00

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Friday, 2 May 2025

New Suez Stadium · Referee L. Badi · Analysis updated 17:51 UTC

Congo DR U20 vs Ghana U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Congo DR U20 vs Ghana U20 in the Africa Cup of Nations U20: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Congo DR U20 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Congo DR U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Congo DR U20 and 1.18 for Ghana U20, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Congo DR U20 or Ghana U20 yet, so these numbers are a Africa Cup of Nations U20 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Congo DR U20 win44%
Draw26%
Ghana U20 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Congo DR U20

  • 2026-06-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Côte d'Ivoire U20 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-10T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Saudi Arabia U21 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombia U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-06-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs China PR U20 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-31T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tunisia U23 · 0-3 (L)

Ghana U20

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Africa Cup of Nations U20 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Egypt U20430139
    2Morocco U20421137
    3Burkina Faso U20220056
    4Cameroon U20220056
    5Guinea U20220026
    6Gambia U20211014
    7Algeria U204112-24
    8Libya U204112-34
    9Senegal U20110013
    10Tunisia U204031-13
    11Congo U20202002
    12Côte d'Ivoire U20202002
    13Congo DR U20202002
    14Gabon U20202002
    15Liberia U202011-11
    16Central African Rep. U202011-21
    17Niger U202011-21
    18Nigeria U202011-31
    19Chad U202011-31
    20Mauritania U201001-10
    21Mali U202002-20

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.