No. 2 Sportsground · Analysis updated 06:47 UTC
Cooks Hill United vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Cooks Hill United and 1.53 for Lambton Jaffas, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Cooks Hill United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cooks Hill United win
48.8% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cooks Hill United home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lambton Jaffas away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.0%
Recent form
Cooks Hill United
- 2026-08-16T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Kahibah · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Adamstown Rosebuds · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-31T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Broadmeadow Magic · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Lambton Jaffas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-11T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Charlestown City Blues · 4-0 (W)
Lambton Jaffas
- 2026-08-16T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamilton Olympic · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Belmont Swansea · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Cooks Hill United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Maitland · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-11T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Weston Bears · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-25T04:00:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 1-0 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2026-04-24T10:00:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 1-4 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2025-08-03T06:00:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 3-3 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2025-05-04T04:00:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 2-3 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2024-05-25T06:30:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 2-3 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2024-03-03T05:30:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 1-4 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2023-08-05T05:00:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 2-3 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2023-05-06T04:30:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 1-1 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2022-08-03T09:00:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 1-4 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
- 2022-05-07T04:30:00.000Z · Cooks Hill United 0-1 Lambton Jaffas (Northern NSW NPL)
Northern NSW NPL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -17 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebuds | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 24 |
| 10 | Hamilton Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -18 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown City Blues | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -37 | 14 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cooks Hill United win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.