South-Africa · Super League Women · Regular season13:00

1 – 0

Friday, 3 July 2026

· Analysis updated 16:31 UTC

Copperbelt Ladies W vs Pretoria U. W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Copperbelt Ladies W and 1.93 for Pretoria U. W, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Pretoria U. W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

61.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Copperbelt Ladies W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Pretoria U. W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pretoria U. W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.90 goals for Copperbelt Ladies W and 1.93 for Pretoria U. W, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Copperbelt Ladies W win39%
Draw21%
Pretoria U. W win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–18.0%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–34.9%

Recent form

Copperbelt Ladies W

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs UWC W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Pretoria U. W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TS Galaxy W · 0-1 (L)

Pretoria U. W

  • 2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Diepkloof W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Copperbelt Ladies W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T07:00:00.000Z · A vs UWC W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · Copperbelt Ladies W 1-1 Pretoria U. W (Super League Women)
  • 2026-07-03T13:00:00.000Z · Copperbelt Ladies W 1-0 Pretoria U. W (Super League Women)

Super League Women table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.