· Analysis updated 16:31 UTC
Copperbelt Ladies W vs Pretoria U. W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Copperbelt Ladies W and 1.93 for Pretoria U. W, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Pretoria U. W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.1% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Copperbelt Ladies W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pretoria U. W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pretoria U. W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Copperbelt Ladies W and 1.93 for Pretoria U. W, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.0%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–34.9%
Recent form
Copperbelt Ladies W
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs UWC W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Pretoria U. W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TS Galaxy W · 0-1 (L)
Pretoria U. W
- 2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Diepkloof W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Copperbelt Ladies W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T07:00:00.000Z · A vs UWC W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · Copperbelt Ladies W 1-1 Pretoria U. W (Super League Women)
- 2026-07-03T13:00:00.000Z · Copperbelt Ladies W 1-0 Pretoria U. W (Super League Women)
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 |
| 2 | JVW FC W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | TS Galaxy W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | University of Johannesburg W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tshwane University W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Pretoria U. W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Ramatlaohle W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | UWC W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Copperbelt Ladies W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | University of Fort Hare W | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Richmond United W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ezemvelo W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | First Touch W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Diepkloof W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Stellenbosch W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
| 16 | City Lads W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.