South-Africa · Super League Women · Group stage14:00

2 – 2

Friday, 2 October 2026

· Analysis updated 10:43 UTC

Copperbelt Ladies W vs Stellenbosch W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Copperbelt Ladies W and 0.83 for Stellenbosch W, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Copperbelt Ladies W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Copperbelt Ladies W win

67.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Copperbelt Ladies W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Copperbelt Ladies W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 19% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.15 goals for Copperbelt Ladies W and 0.83 for Stellenbosch W, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 50%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Copperbelt Ladies W win68%
Draw19%
Stellenbosch W win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 3–08.4%

Recent form

Copperbelt Ladies W

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs UWC W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Pretoria U. W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TS Galaxy W · 0-1 (L)

Stellenbosch W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Copperbelt Ladies W win, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

    A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.