Turkey · 3. Lig - Play-offs · Promotion Play-offs - 2nd Round13:00

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Friday, 8 May 2026

General Basra Saran Stadyumu · Analysis updated 15:28 UTC

Çorluspor 1947 vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Çorluspor 1947 and 0.92 for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Çorluspor 1947 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Çorluspor 1947 home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Küçükçekmece Sinopspor away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Çorluspor 1947 win39%
Draw31%
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–014.5%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–013.2%
  • 0–112.2%
  • 2–08.0%

Recent form

Çorluspor 1947

  • 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bursa Yıldırımspor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bursa Yıldırımspor · 3-2 (W)

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Pazarspor · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs İnkılapspor · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 3-1 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Play-offs)
  • 2026-05-04T14:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 1-1 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Play-offs)
  • 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 1-0 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Group 1)
  • 2025-12-21T12:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 0-4 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Group 1)
  • 2025-04-30T13:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 0-1 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Play-offs)
  • 2025-02-16T11:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 2-1 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Group 3)
  • 2024-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · Çorluspor 1947 0-2 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor (3. Lig - Group 3)

3. Lig - Play-offs table

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Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.