· Analysis updated 10:47 UTC
Corona Braşov vs Tunari Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Corona Braşov and 1.45 for Tunari, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Corona Braşov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Corona Braşov win
50.4% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Corona Braşov home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tunari away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Corona Braşov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Corona Braşov and 1.45 for Tunari, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Corona Braşov
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Carpati Covasna · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baicoi · 1-1 (D)
Tunari
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Păuleşti · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Urban Titu · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Berca · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Plopeni · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Râmnicu Sărat · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Corona Braşov win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.