Stadionul Francisc von Neuman · Referee Andrei Moroita, Romania · Analysis updated 19:01 UTC
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Dinamo Bucuresti Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.05 for Dinamo Bucuresti, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Corvinul Hunedoara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.0% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Corvinul Hunedoara home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Bucuresti away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Corvinul Hunedoara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 30% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.05 for Dinamo Bucuresti, a combined 2.15 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–112.2%
- 0–011.6%
- 2–17.4%
Recent form
Corvinul Hunedoara
- 2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-1 (L)
Dinamo Bucuresti
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Lieşti · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | FCSB | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Uta Arad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.