Stadionul Francisc von Neuman · Analysis updated 22:33 UTC
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Rapid Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.22 for Rapid, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives Rapid the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Corvinul Hunedoara home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rapid away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rapid to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 35% / 28% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.22 for Rapid, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
Corvinul Hunedoara
- 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 0-2 (L)
Rapid
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Genoa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.