Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 · Group 2 - 2813:00
CourtételleWWWLW

3 – 0

Saturday, 16 May 2026

Centre Sportif · Analysis updated 00:07 UTC

Courtételle vs Grasshopper II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Courtételle and 1.65 for Grasshopper II, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Grasshopper II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Courtételle home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Grasshopper II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Grasshopper II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Courtételle and 1.65 for Grasshopper II, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Courtételle win37%
Draw23%
Grasshopper II win40%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

Courtételle

  • 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Grasshopper II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Meyrin · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Muri-Gümligen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zug · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Solothurn · 1-3 (L)

Grasshopper II

  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Amical Saint-Prex · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Langenthal11731924
2Courtételle117131122
3Schötz116231120
4Muttenz11623620
5Solothurn11614719
6Delémont11533718
7Concordia Basel11524617
8Buochs11515-116
9Muri-Gümligen11515-316
10Grasshopper II11506-315
11Zug11416-813
12Bassecourt11416-813
13Thun II11335-512
14FC Wohlen11335-512
15Black Stars11164-59
16Münsingen11029-192

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.