CR Belouizdad vs MC Oran Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for CR Belouizdad and 0.98 for MC Oran, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives CR Belouizdad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

CR Belouizdad win

53.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

CR Belouizdad home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
MC Oran away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

CR Belouizdad win53%

Draw25%

MC Oran win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–012.0%
1–111.7%
2–09.9%
2–19.6%
0–07.2%

Recent form

CR Belouizdad

2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs US Biskra · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T20:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 3-3 (D)
2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Kabylie · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-02T19:00:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 1-1 (D)

MC Oran

2026-10-23T14:15:00.000Z · A vs JS El Biar · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Khenchela · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs US Biskra · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-08T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-18T20:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-20T19:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 3-1 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2025-12-29T16:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 1-1 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2025-06-17T16:30:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 2-0 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2025-02-03T17:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 2-1 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2024-04-28T18:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 0-1 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2024-01-30T17:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 2-0 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2023-04-17T21:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 1-3 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2022-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 2-0 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2022-05-22T16:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 0-0 MC Oran (Ligue 1)
2022-01-21T14:00:00.000Z · CR Belouizdad 3-0 MC Oran (Ligue 1)

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MC Oran	6	4	2	0	5	14
2	CR Belouizdad	6	4	2	0	4	14
3	JS Kabylie	6	4	1	1	7	13
4	MB Rouisset	7	4	1	2	3	13
5	USM Alger	6	3	2	1	3	11
6	Olympique Akbou	6	3	1	2	3	10
7	JS El Biar	7	2	2	3	1	8
8	Témouchent	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	MC Alger	3	2	1	0	3	7
10	Ben Aknoun	6	1	4	1	0	7
11	CS Constantine	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	ES Setif	6	1	2	3	1	5
13	Khenchela	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	ASO Chlef	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	JS Saoura	6	0	3	3	-6	3
16	US Biskra	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is CR Belouizdad win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.