CRB vs Londrina Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for CRB and 1.40 for Londrina, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives CRB the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

CRB home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Londrina away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

CRB win41%

Draw25%

Londrina win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.4%
2–18.8%
1–08.1%
1–28.0%
0–17.3%

Recent form

CRB

2026-10-07T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Goianiense · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-02T22:30:00.000Z · A vs São Bernardo · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-27T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Cuiaba · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ponte Preta · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-16T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Sport Recife · 2-1 (W)

Londrina

2026-10-07T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Avai · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-02T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Criciuma · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-25T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Vila Nova · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-20T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortaleza EC · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-15T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Ponte Preta · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-07-04T19:00:00.000Z · CRB 0-5 Londrina (Serie B)
2023-10-29T21:30:00.000Z · CRB 1-1 Londrina (Serie B)
2023-07-01T21:15:00.000Z · CRB 2-1 Londrina (Serie B)
2022-08-30T22:00:00.000Z · CRB 0-1 Londrina (Serie B)
2022-05-19T00:30:00.000Z · CRB 1-0 Londrina (Serie B)
2021-11-11T00:30:00.000Z · CRB 1-0 Londrina (Serie B)
2021-08-08T23:30:00.000Z · CRB 2-0 Londrina (Serie B)
2019-08-31T19:30:00.000Z · CRB 1-0 Londrina (Serie B)
2019-04-28T19:00:00.000Z · CRB 1-2 Londrina (Serie B)
2018-11-16T23:30:00.000Z · CRB 2-1 Londrina (Serie B)

Serie B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	15	61
2	Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	31	60
3	Juventude	33	17	9	7	18	60
4	Fortaleza EC	33	15	12	6	10	57
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	6	56
6	Atletico Goianiense	33	14	11	8	10	53
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	4	52
8	Sport Recife	33	13	12	8	10	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	-6	48
10	Operario-PR	33	13	9	11	-1	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	6	47
12	São Bernardo	33	12	10	11	10	46
13	Athletic Club	33	10	13	10	1	43
14	Nautico Recife	33	11	9	13	-3	42
15	Ceara	33	11	9	13	-5	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	-1	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	-10	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	-7	29
19	America Mineiro	33	4	5	24	-33	17
20	Ponte Preta	33	3	4	26	-55	13

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.