Stadio Giovanni Zini · Analysis updated 13:08 UTC
Cremonese vs Juve Stabia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Cremonese and 1.13 for Juve Stabia, a combined total of 2.23. That distribution gives Juve Stabia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.1% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cremonese home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Juve Stabia away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juve Stabia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 35% / 29% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Cremonese and 1.13 for Juve Stabia, a combined 2.23 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.2%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.8%
- 1–27.5%
Recent form
Cremonese
- 2026-10-02T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Juventus · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Monza · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Virtus Entella · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Cesena · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Padova · 3-1 (W)
Juve Stabia
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lazio · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-18T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Cesena · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vicenza Virtus · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pisa · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sampdoria · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.