· Analysis updated 13:38 UTC
Crişul Sântandrei vs Bihorul Beiuş Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Crişul Sântandrei and 1.08 for Bihorul Beiuş, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Crişul Sântandrei the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Crişul Sântandrei win
51.1% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Crişul Sântandrei home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bihorul Beiuş away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crişul Sântandrei to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 24% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Crişul Sântandrei and 1.08 for Bihorul Beiuş, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–16.9%
Recent form
Crişul Sântandrei
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SCM Zalău · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihorul Beiuş · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Minaur Baia Mare · 1-0 (W)
Bihorul Beiuş
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Tășnad · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · Crişul Sântandrei 2-1 Bihorul Beiuş (Liga III - Serie 8)
- 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · Crişul Sântandrei 0-1 Bihorul Beiuş (Liga III - Serie 8)
- 2026-03-07T13:00:00.000Z · Crişul Sântandrei 3-2 Bihorul Beiuş (Liga III - Serie 8)
- 2025-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · Crişul Sântandrei 2-0 Bihorul Beiuş (Liga III - Serie 8)
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | SCM Zalău | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Viitorul Cluj | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Sănătatea Cluj | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Sânmartin | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Academica Recea | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Bihorul Beiuş | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Unirea Dej | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 11 | Unirea Tășnad | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -13 | 3 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Crişul Sântandrei win, at 51.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.