· Analysis updated 21:51 UTC
Crişul Sântandrei vs Unirea Tășnad Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Crişul Sântandrei and 1.03 for Unirea Tășnad, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Crişul Sântandrei the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Crişul Sântandrei win
59.9% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Crişul Sântandrei home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Unirea Tășnad away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crişul Sântandrei to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 21% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Crişul Sântandrei and 1.03 for Unirea Tășnad, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–09.7%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Crişul Sântandrei
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SCM Zalău · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihorul Beiuş · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Minaur Baia Mare · 1-0 (W)
Unirea Tășnad
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Academica Recea · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SCM Zalău · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihorul Beiuş · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Crişul Sântandrei win, at 59.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.