Croatia Berlin vs Hansa Rostock II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Croatia Berlin and 2.22 for Hansa Rostock II, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hansa Rostock II win

58.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 2.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Croatia Berlin home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hansa Rostock II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hansa Rostock II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 22% / 20% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Croatia Berlin and 2.22 for Hansa Rostock II, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Croatia Berlin win22%

Draw20%

Hansa Rostock II win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–29.5%
1–18.6%
0–27.3%
1–37.0%
0–16.6%

Recent form

Croatia Berlin

2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Makkabi · 0-7 (L)
2026-05-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tennis Borussia · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Schwerin · 0-5 (L)
2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK '07 · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Klosterfelde · 0-4 (L)

Hansa Rostock II

2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 8-1 (W)
2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	9	6	1	2	6	19
2	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	5	2	2	4	17
3	BAK '07	9	4	4	1	3	16
4	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	5	0	4	8	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	4	2	3	5	14
6	Lichtenberg	9	4	2	3	2	14
7	Hansa Rostock II	9	3	4	2	8	13
8	Optik Rathenow	9	4	1	4	3	13
9	Anker Wismar	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Tennis Borussia	9	3	3	3	0	12
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	9	2	4	3	-3	10
12	FC Lok Stendal	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Sparta Lichtenberg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Union Klosterfelde	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Makkabi	9	2	2	5	-12	8
16	Neustrelitz	9	2	1	6	-6	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hansa Rostock II win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.