· Analysis updated 15:40 UTC
Crossing Schaerbeek vs Stade Verviers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.53 expected goals for Crossing Schaerbeek and 1.75 for Stade Verviers, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Crossing Schaerbeek the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Crossing Schaerbeek win
54.7% probability
Expected goals
2.53 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Crossing Schaerbeek home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stade Verviers away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crossing Schaerbeek to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 19% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.53 goals for Crossing Schaerbeek and 1.75 for Stade Verviers, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.7%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–16.1%
- 3–25.7%
Recent form
Crossing Schaerbeek
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Richelle United · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 0-4 (L)
Stade Verviers
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2025-02-16T14:00:00.000Z · Crossing Schaerbeek 2-1 Stade Verviers (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2024-10-27T14:00:00.000Z · Crossing Schaerbeek 0-0 Stade Verviers (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2023-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · Crossing Schaerbeek 3-2 Stade Verviers (Cup)
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Jette | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braine | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ganshoren | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | RUS Binche | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stade Verviers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Richelle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Huy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Calamine | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Crossing Schaerbeek win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.