· Analysis updated 23:52 UTC
Cruzeiro U20 vs Goiás U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Cruzeiro U20 and 1.45 for Goiás U20, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Cruzeiro U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cruzeiro U20 win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cruzeiro U20 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Goiás U20 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cruzeiro U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Cruzeiro U20 and 1.45 for Goiás U20, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Cruzeiro U20
- 2026-10-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Mineiro U20 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Goiás U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Athletic Club MG U20 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Athletic Club MG U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Athletic Club MG U20 · 0-0 (D)
Goiás U20
- 2026-10-21T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Ceará U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ceará U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-09T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Trindade U20 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-07-01T23:00:00.000Z · H vs CRB U20 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cruzeiro U20 win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.