Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Crystal Palace and 1.30 for Nottingham Forest, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Crystal Palace the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Crystal Palace win41%

Draw26%

Nottingham Forest win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.1%
1–09.3%
2–18.7%
0–18.4%
1–27.8%

Why the model likes this

Crystal Palace home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nottingham Forest away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crystal Palace to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.30 for Nottingham Forest, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Crystal Palace

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Freiburg · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Fulham · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Ula · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Famalicao · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lens · 0-3 (L)

Nottingham Forest

2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Brestois 29 · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-12T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bayer Leverkusen · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Barcelona · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Udinese · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.