Algeria · Coupe Nationale · Semi-finals20:00

2 – 3

Friday, 24 April 2026

Stadium Mohamed Hamlaoui · Analysis updated 16:28 UTC

CS Constantine vs CR Belouizdad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for CS Constantine and 1.64 for CR Belouizdad, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives CR Belouizdad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.64

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CS Constantine home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • CR Belouizdad away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

CS Constantine win38%
Draw23%
CR Belouizdad win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.3%

Recent form

CS Constantine

  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs ES Setif · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ASO Chlef · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Saoura · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-19T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Khenchela · 2-2 (D)

CR Belouizdad

  • 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs US Biskra · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T20:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Kabylie · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-02T19:00:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-24T20:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 2-3 CR Belouizdad (Coupe Nationale)
  • 2026-02-26T21:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 0-0 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2025-09-28T15:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 2-2 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2025-06-12T20:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 0-2 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2025-01-30T18:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 2-0 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2024-05-17T16:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 1-1 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2023-12-28T18:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 1-2 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2023-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 0-0 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-11-29T14:00:00.000Z · CS Constantine 1-2 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-03-03T13:30:00.000Z · CS Constantine 1-2 CR Belouizdad (Ligue 1)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.