Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 417:00

4 – 0

Wednesday, 7 October 2026

US BiskraLLLDL

· Analysis updated 08:42 UTC

CS Constantine vs US Biskra Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for CS Constantine and 1.68 for US Biskra, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives CS Constantine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CS Constantine home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • US Biskra away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CS Constantine to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 22% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.93 goals for CS Constantine and 1.68 for US Biskra, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

CS Constantine win44%
Draw22%
US Biskra win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 3–15.4%

Recent form

CS Constantine

  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs ES Setif · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ASO Chlef · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Saoura · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-19T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Khenchela · 2-2 (D)

US Biskra

  • 2026-10-18T16:45:00.000Z · A vs JS Kabylie · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs MC Oran · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs CS Constantine · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs JS Saoura · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Belouizdad · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Oran5410513
2CR Belouizdad5410413
3MB Rouisset6402312
4JS Kabylie5311410
5USM Alger5311310
6MC Alger321037
7JS El Biar621317
8Olympique Akbou521207
9CS Constantine6213-17
10Ben Aknoun513106
11ES Setif512225
12Khenchela512205
13Témouchent6123-45
14ASO Chlef6033-53
15JS Saoura5023-62
16US Biskra6024-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.