CNF Buftea · Analysis updated 07:41 UTC
CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for CS Dinamo București and 2.03 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives CSM Ramnicu Valcea the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
1.42 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
CS Dinamo București home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CSM Ramnicu Valcea to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 27% / 22% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for CS Dinamo București and 2.03 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.3%
- 1–19.2%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–16.5%
- 0–26.5%
Recent form
CS Dinamo București
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 0-1 (L)
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
- 2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ludogorets · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Popești-Leordeni | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Chindia Targoviste | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Cetatea Suceava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Metalul Buzău | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | CSM Reşiţa | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Concordia | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Bihor Oradea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | CS Afumati | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | ASA Targu Mures | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Unirea Slobozia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | CS Dinamo București | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 7 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 6 |
| 21 | Ştefăneşti | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is CSM Ramnicu Valcea win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.