Romania · Liga II · Final08:00

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Saturday, 16 May 2026

CNF Buftea · Analysis updated 13:35 UTC

CS Dinamo București vs Viitorul Şelimbăr Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.91 expected goals for CS Dinamo București and 1.48 for Viitorul Şelimbăr, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives CS Dinamo București the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

CS Dinamo București win

47.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.91 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CS Dinamo București home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viitorul Şelimbăr away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CS Dinamo București to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.91 goals for CS Dinamo București and 1.48 for Viitorul Şelimbăr, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

CS Dinamo București win48%
Draw22%
Viitorul Şelimbăr win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.5%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–06.4%

Recent form

CS Dinamo București

  • 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 0-1 (L)

Viitorul Şelimbăr

  • 2026-10-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Targu Mures · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Politehnica Timisoara118301327
2Slatina11812925
3Chindia Targoviste118031324
4Popești-Leordeni117311124
5Cetatea Suceava116321021
6Metalul Buzău11632621
7CSM Reşiţa11704321
8Concordia11614819
9FC Bacau115331218
10Bihor Oradea11533818
11Gloria Bistriţa11605118
12CS Afumati11524017
13Metaloglobus10334-412
14CSM Ramnicu Valcea10325-511
15ASA Targu Mures11326-711
16CSA Steaua Bucureşti11245-610
17Viitorul Şelimbăr11236-129
18Unirea Slobozia11227-18
19CS Dinamo București11218-167
20CSM Satu Mare11065-86
21Ştefăneşti11209-196
22Dumbrăviţa11038-163

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is CS Dinamo București win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.