Romania · Liga II · Matchweek 508:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 29 August 2026

CNF Buftea · Analysis updated 15:51 UTC

CS Dinamo București vs Viitorul Şelimbăr Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for CS Dinamo București and 1.66 for Viitorul Şelimbăr, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Viitorul Şelimbăr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.66

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CS Dinamo București home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viitorul Şelimbăr away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viitorul Şelimbăr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.59 goals for CS Dinamo București and 1.66 for Viitorul Şelimbăr, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

CS Dinamo București win37%
Draw23%
Viitorul Şelimbăr win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

CS Dinamo București

  • 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 0-1 (L)

Viitorul Şelimbăr

  • 2026-08-23T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Afumati · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metaloglobus · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hermannstadt · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.