World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · Qualifying — Semi-Finals16:00

0 – 1

Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 15:02 UTC

Csikszereda MC W vs Breidablik W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Csikszereda MC W and 4.50 for Breidablik W, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives Breidablik W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Breidablik W win

90.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Csikszereda MC W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Breidablik W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Breidablik W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 4% / 6% / 91% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Csikszereda MC W and 4.50 for Breidablik W, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Csikszereda MC W win4%
Draw6%
Breidablik W win91%

Double chance 1X

9%

Double chance 12

94%

Double chance X2

97%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 0–47.0%
  • 1–47.0%
  • 0–56.3%
  • 1–56.3%
  • 0–36.2%

Recent form

Csikszereda MC W

  • 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)

Breidablik W

  • 2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo-BGU W · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Breidablik W win, at 90.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.