Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 07:14 UTC
Csikszereda MC W vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Csikszereda MC W and 3.72 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined total of 6.17. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win
61.6% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 3.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Csikszereda MC W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 24% / 15% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for Csikszereda MC W and 3.72 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined 6.17 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–35.4%
- 2–45.0%
- 3–34.4%
- 1–34.4%
- 2–24.3%
Recent form
Csikszereda MC W
- 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Csikszereda MC W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 |
| 2 | Farul Constanţa W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 21 |
| 3 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -51 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -79 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 88% and over 2.5 goals at 93%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.