Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 511:00

3 – 0

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 06:45 UTC

Csikszereda MC W vs SSU Poli Timişoara W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Csikszereda MC W and 2.02 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined total of 4.34. That distribution gives Csikszereda MC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Csikszereda MC W win

45.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.32 – 2.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Csikszereda MC W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Csikszereda MC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 20% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.32 goals for Csikszereda MC W and 2.02 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined 4.34 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 78%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Csikszereda MC W win46%
Draw20%
SSU Poli Timişoara W win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 2–27.2%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 1–16.1%
  • 3–25.5%

Recent form

Csikszereda MC W

  • 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)

SSU Poli Timişoara W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga 1 Feminin table

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    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Csikszereda MC W win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

    A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.