Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 208:00

11 – 1

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 15:04 UTC

Csikszereda MC W vs Univ. Craiova W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Csikszereda MC W and 1.18 for Univ. Craiova W, a combined total of 5.68. That distribution gives Csikszereda MC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 89%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 89% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Csikszereda MC W win

88.5% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Csikszereda MC W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Csikszereda MC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 89%, against 89% / 7% / 5% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.50 goals for Csikszereda MC W and 1.18 for Univ. Craiova W, a combined 5.68 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 66%, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Csikszereda MC W win89%
Draw7%
Univ. Craiova W win5%

Double chance 1X

95%

Double chance 12

93%

Double chance X2

12%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals78%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 4–16.9%
  • 5–16.2%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 4–05.8%
  • 5–05.2%

Recent form

Csikszereda MC W

  • 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)

Univ. Craiova W

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 0-12 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-11 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 2-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 Feminin table

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Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Csikszereda MC W win, at 88.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

A 89% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.