Romania · Cupa României · Group stage13:00

13:00 UTC

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 16:19 UTC

Csikszereda vs Bihor Oradea Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Csikszereda and 1.56 for Bihor Oradea, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Bihor Oradea the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Csikszereda home form

    1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bihor Oradea away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bihor Oradea to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 32% / 25% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Csikszereda and 1.56 for Bihor Oradea, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Csikszereda win32%
Draw25%
Bihor Oradea win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–07.4%

Recent form

Csikszereda

  • 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucuresti · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Uta Arad · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 2-3 (L)

Bihor Oradea

  • 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T10:30:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Popești-Leordeni · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.