Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 15:21 UTC
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Slatina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for CSM Ramnicu Valcea and 2.25 for Slatina, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Slatina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slatina win
59.9% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slatina away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slatina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 20% / 20% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for CSM Ramnicu Valcea and 2.25 for Slatina, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–37.2%
- 0–16.8%
Recent form
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
- 2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ludogorets · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 0-4 (L)
Slatina
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalul Buzău · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Oltul Curtişoara · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Dinamo București · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Popești-Leordeni | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Bacau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 |
| 6 | Chindia Targoviste | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Concordia | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cetatea Suceava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Metalul Buzău | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | CS Afumati | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Bihor Oradea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 12 | Gloria Bistriţa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Unirea Slobozia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | CS Dinamo București | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 6 |
| 21 | Ştefăneşti | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -16 | 6 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slatina win, at 59.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.