CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for CSM Satu Mare and 0.98 for Viitorul Şelimbăr, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives CSM Satu Mare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.13 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

CSM Satu Mare home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Viitorul Şelimbăr away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CSM Satu Mare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 30% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for CSM Satu Mare and 0.98 for Viitorul Şelimbăr, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

CSM Satu Mare win39%

Draw30%

Viitorul Şelimbăr win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%

Over 2.5 goals35%

Over 3.5 goals16%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

1–013.8%
1–113.4%
0–012.2%
0–111.9%
2–07.7%

Recent form

CSM Satu Mare

2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Afumati · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metaloglobus · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 0-1 (L)

Viitorul Şelimbăr

2026-08-23T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Afumati · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metaloglobus · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hermannstadt · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga II table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slatina	9	7	1	1	10	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	6	3	0	11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	9	7	0	2	7	21
4	Chindia Targoviste	9	6	0	3	10	18
5	Popești-Leordeni	9	5	3	1	8	18
6	CS Afumati	9	5	2	2	4	17
7	Metalul Buzău	9	5	2	2	3	17
8	FC Bacau	9	4	3	2	10	15
9	Cetatea Suceava	9	4	3	2	6	15
10	Concordia	9	5	0	4	3	15
11	Gloria Bistriţa	9	5	0	4	3	15
12	Bihor Oradea	9	3	3	3	4	12
13	ASA Targu Mures	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Metaloglobus	9	3	2	4	-4	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	9	2	1	6	0	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	Viitorul Şelimbăr	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Ştefăneşti	9	2	0	7	-13	6
20	CSM Satu Mare	9	0	5	4	-7	5
21	CS Dinamo București	9	1	1	7	-18	4
22	Dumbrăviţa	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.