Stadion na Banovom brdu · Referee Milos Milanovic, Serbia · Analysis updated 13:24 UTC
Cukaricki vs Vojvodina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Cukaricki and 0.80 for Vojvodina, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Cukaricki the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cukaricki win
61.1% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cukaricki home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vojvodina away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cukaricki to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 23% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Cukaricki and 0.80 for Vojvodina, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.4%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.4%
Recent form
Cukaricki
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Železničar Pančevo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Novi Pazar · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnik Surdulica · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 0-4 (L)
Vojvodina
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Banja Luka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zrinjski · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Partizan · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemun · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Železničar Pančevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | FK Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Radnicki NIS | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Macva | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cukaricki win, at 61.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.