Stadion Letna · Analysis updated 09:55 UTC
Czech Republic U20 vs Portugal U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Czech Republic U20 and 1.44 for Portugal U20, a combined total of 3.89. That distribution gives Czech Republic U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Czech Republic U20 win
59.5% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Czech Republic U20 home form
0 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Czech Republic U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for Czech Republic U20 and 1.44 for Portugal U20, a combined 3.89 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 1–17.2%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–06.1%
Recent form
Czech Republic U20
- 2026-03-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Portugal U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-03-26T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Germany U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-11-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Poland U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Romania U20 · 5-1 (W)
- 2025-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Romania U20 · 2-2 (D)
Portugal U20
- 2026-09-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Switzerland U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Poland U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tunisia U23 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Canada U20 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-06-08T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Venezuela U20 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U20 Elite League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poland U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Germany U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | England U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Czechia U20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Switzerland U20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 | France U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 7 | Portugal U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Italy U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Czech Republic U20 win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.