Joma Arena · Analysis updated 14:28 UTC
Dacia-Buiucani vs Petrocub Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Dacia-Buiucani and 1.44 for Petrocub, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Petrocub the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.1% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dacia-Buiucani home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Petrocub away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Petrocub to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 31% / 26% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Dacia-Buiucani and 1.44 for Petrocub, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–27.5%
Recent form
Dacia-Buiucani
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sireți · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrocub · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheriff Tiraspol · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zimbru · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs CSF Bălți · 4-1 (W)
Petrocub
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Politehnica UTM · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sireți · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheriff Tiraspol · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CSF Bălți · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Milsami Orhei · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 28 |
| 2 | Zimbru | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Petrocub | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Dacia-Buiucani | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Milsami Orhei | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 17 |
| 6 | Politehnica UTM | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Sireți | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 8 | CSF Bălți | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -33 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.