Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 2317:30
DalstorpsWDWWL

1 – 1

Friday, 25 September 2026

BöljanLDDLW

· Analysis updated 17:38 UTC

Dalstorps vs Böljan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Dalstorps and 1.02 for Böljan, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Dalstorps the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dalstorps win

56.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dalstorps home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Böljan away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dalstorps to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.82 goals for Dalstorps and 1.02 for Böljan, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dalstorps win56%
Draw23%
Böljan win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 0–16.0%

Recent form

Dalstorps

  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hestrafor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Torslanda · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 4-1 (W)

Böljan

  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dalstorps · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Landvetter IS · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hestrafor · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Torslanda · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Qviding FIF · 5-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dalstorps win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.