Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 1417:30
DalstorpsWDWWL

2 – 2

Friday, 26 June 2026

LindomeWLLLL

· Analysis updated 13:36 UTC

Dalstorps vs Lindome Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Dalstorps and 1.25 for Lindome, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Dalstorps the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dalstorps win

58.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dalstorps home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lindome away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dalstorps to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Dalstorps and 1.25 for Lindome, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dalstorps win59%
Draw20%
Lindome win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 3–17.0%

Recent form

Dalstorps

  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hestrafor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Torslanda · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 4-1 (W)

Lindome

  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Åstorp · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonsered · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dalstorps · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dalstorps win, at 58.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.