· Analysis updated 11:07 UTC
Darmstadt 98 U19 vs Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Darmstadt 98 U19 and 3.08 for Köln U19, a combined total of 4.80. That distribution gives Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Köln U19 win
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 3.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Darmstadt 98 U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 19% / 16% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Darmstadt 98 U19 and 3.08 for Köln U19, a combined 4.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.9%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–35.9%
- 2–25.8%
- 1–45.3%
Recent form
Darmstadt 98 U19
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-8 (L)
Köln U19
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Köln U19 win, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.