· Analysis updated 00:01 UTC
Darmstadt 98 U19 vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.18 expected goals for Darmstadt 98 U19 and 1.70 for Wehen Wiesbaden U19, a combined total of 5.88. That distribution gives Darmstadt 98 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Darmstadt 98 U19 win
78.9% probability
Expected goals
4.18 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Darmstadt 98 U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Darmstadt 98 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 11% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.18 goals for Darmstadt 98 U19 and 1.70 for Wehen Wiesbaden U19, a combined 5.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.0%
- 3–15.8%
- 4–25.1%
- 5–15.0%
- 3–24.9%
Recent form
Darmstadt 98 U19
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-8 (L)
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · Darmstadt 98 U19 4-2 Wehen Wiesbaden U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Darmstadt 98 U19 win, at 78.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.