· Analysis updated 12:09 UTC
Dartford W vs Forest Green Rovers W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.39 expected goals for Dartford W and 1.20 for Forest Green Rovers W, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives Dartford W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dartford W win
63.7% probability
Expected goals
2.39 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dartford W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dartford W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.39 goals for Dartford W and 1.20 for Forest Green Rovers W, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 64%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Dartford W
- 2025-12-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs London Bees W · 2-3 (L)
- 2025-11-23T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Keynsham Town W · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-10-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Forest Green Rovers W · 5-1 (W)
- 2024-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Actonians W · 0-2 (L)
- 2023-11-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Oxford United W · 0-2 (L)
Forest Green Rovers W
- 2025-10-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dartford W · 1-5 (L)
- 2024-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bridgwater United W · 2-4 (L)
- 2023-10-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bridgwater United W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FA Women's Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dartford W win, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.