· Analysis updated 09:02 UTC
Dauphins Noirs vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.49 expected goals for Dauphins Noirs and 0.40 for Rangers, a combined total of 0.89. That distribution gives Dauphins Noirs the largest share of the 1X2 market at 28%, with the draw at 50%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 6% for over 2.5 goals and 13% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 41%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 28% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw
49.7% probability
Expected goals
0.49 – 0.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dauphins Noirs home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rangers away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
50%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–041.3%
- 1–020.1%
- 0–116.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–04.9%
Recent form
Dauphins Noirs
- 2026-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rangers · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rangers · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Renaissance · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-03-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs JSK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-03-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vita Club · 1-0 (W)
Rangers
- 2026-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dauphins Noirs · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dauphins Noirs · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vita Club · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Etoile de Kivu · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Mk de Kinshasa · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 0-0 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 3-0 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2025-12-01T14:00:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 1-1 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2024-11-20T13:00:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 1-2 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2023-11-26T12:30:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 1-1 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2023-10-22T13:30:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 0-2 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2021-12-18T14:30:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 1-2 Rangers (Ligue 1)
- 2021-06-26T13:30:00.000Z · Dauphins Noirs 3-0 Rangers (Ligue 1)
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Anges Verts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Tanganyika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Étoile du Congo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | JSK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Malole | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Céleste | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Saint Eloi Lupopo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Mk de Kinshasa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Sanga Balende | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Dauphins Noirs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | AS New Soger | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CS Manika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Etoile de Kivu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | TP Mazembe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Renaissance | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Lubumbashi Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | New Jack | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Butras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Vita Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Blessing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Maniema Union | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Saint-Luc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Novakin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 13% and over 2.5 goals at 6%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.