Hungary · NB III - Northeast · Northeast - 1011:00
DEACWWLWD

3 – 0

Saturday, 3 October 2026

FüzesabonyDLWLW

· Analysis updated 14:35 UTC

DEAC vs Füzesabony Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for DEAC and 1.25 for Füzesabony, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives DEAC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

DEAC win

45.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • DEAC home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Füzesabony away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates DEAC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for DEAC and 1.25 for Füzesabony, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

DEAC win46%
Draw25%
Füzesabony win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–17.2%

Recent form

DEAC

  • 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kisvárda II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Albidok · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Debrecen II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tarpa · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza II · 4-2 (W)

Füzesabony

  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eger · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs DEAC · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Diósgyőr II · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hajdúnánás · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ózd Sajóvölgye119022627
2Cigand SE118211626
3DEAC117221523
4Kisvárda II11551720
5Debrecen II11614819
6Gödöllő11614519
7Eger11524-917
8Diósgyőr II11443216
9Mátészalka11443216
10Tiszaújváros11515116
11Füzesabony11515-116
12Hajdúnánás11317-1210
13Salgótarjáni BTC11308-119
14Tiszafuredi VSE11308-129
15Tarpa11209-176
16Nyiregyhaza II111010-203

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is DEAC win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.