Ghana · Division One League · Matchweek 2115:00

4 – 0

Sunday, 1 March 2026

· Analysis updated 09:00 UTC

Debibi United vs Legon Cities Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.58 expected goals for Debibi United and 1.00 for Legon Cities, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Debibi United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Debibi United win

71.2% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.58 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Debibi United home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Legon Cities away threat

    Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Debibi United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 16% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.58 goals for Debibi United and 1.00 for Legon Cities, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Debibi United win71%
Draw16%
Legon Cities win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 2–09.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–08.0%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 1–07.2%

Recent form

Debibi United

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bechem United · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bibiani Gold Stars · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Chelsea · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Medeama · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ashanti Gold · 1-2 (L)

Legon Cities

  • 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Techiman Liberty · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs VC Warriors · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dormaa · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KAC Soccer · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-03-30T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Berekum Arsenal · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division One League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebusua Dwarfs5401312
1Koforidua54101113
1Sankara Nationals5410413
1VC Warriors5311510
2Nations5320411
2Inter Allies5320411
2Real Tamale5311410
2Mighty Royals5311510
3Pro-Sports Academy5311610
3Hakla SC523039
3Steadfast522138
3Techiman Liberty521217
4Ebony FC5311210
4Accra Lions522138
4Berekum City5212-17
4Yapei5212-17
5Soccer Intellectuals523029
5Okwawu522118
5Wa Power512205
5Bectero Sasana5212-17
6Nsuopun Fidelity522118
6WAFA5221-38
6Kalibi SC5122-55
6Dormaa5212-17
7Elmina Sharks522108
7Golden Kicks521227
7Tamale City5113-24
7Eleven Wonders5113-44
8Fettehman United514027
87th Wave514017
8Northern City5023-32
8KAC Soccer5113-44
9Skyy521217
9Nania521207
10Ebiemo FC5203-16
10Home Stars513116
11PAC Academy5122-15
11True Democracy5131-26
12Rospak5113-24
12Attram de Visser5122-25
13King Faisal5113-44
13Great Olympics5113-24
14Sefwi All Stars5032-23
14Nukunu5113-54
15Future Stars5104-73
15Kotoku Royals5023-52
16New Edubiase5014-41
16Golden Warriors5005-70

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Debibi United win, at 71.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.