Debrecen II vs Eger Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.06 expected goals for Debrecen II and 1.37 for Eger, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Debrecen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Debrecen II win

71.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.06 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Debrecen II home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eger away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Debrecen II win71%

Draw15%

Eger win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals81%

Over 3.5 goals64%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

3–17.8%
2–17.6%
4–15.9%
3–05.7%
2–05.6%

Recent form

Debrecen II

2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 2-5 (L)

Eger

2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Füzesabony · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Diósgyőr II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hajdúnánás · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mátészalka · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · Debrecen II 5-2 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2026-04-11T12:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-0 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2025-09-28T14:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 5-0 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2025-03-16T13:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-0 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2024-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 4-1 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2024-03-10T13:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-2 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2023-08-19T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-1 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2023-03-05T13:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-0 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2022-08-21T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 4-1 Eger (NB III - Northeast)
2022-05-22T15:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-3 Eger (NB III - Northeast)

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	11	9	0	2	26	27
2	Cigand SE	11	8	2	1	16	26
3	DEAC	11	7	2	2	15	23
4	Kisvárda II	11	5	5	1	7	20
5	Debrecen II	11	6	1	4	8	19
6	Gödöllő	11	6	1	4	5	19
7	Eger	11	5	2	4	-9	17
8	Diósgyőr II	11	4	4	3	2	16
9	Mátészalka	11	4	4	3	2	16
10	Tiszaújváros	11	5	1	5	1	16
11	Füzesabony	11	5	1	5	-1	16
12	Hajdúnánás	11	3	1	7	-12	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	11	3	0	8	-11	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	11	3	0	8	-12	9
15	Tarpa	11	2	0	9	-17	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	11	1	0	10	-20	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Debrecen II win, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.