Debrecen II vs Gödöllő Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Debrecen II and 1.60 for Gödöllő, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Debrecen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Debrecen II win

52.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Debrecen II home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gödöllő away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Debrecen II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 20% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Debrecen II and 1.60 for Gödöllő, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Debrecen II win53%

Draw20%

Gödöllő win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.6%
1–17.7%
2–26.9%
3–16.5%
1–26.1%

Recent form

Debrecen II

2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisvárda II · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-18T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-1 (W)

Gödöllő

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	13	11	0	2	31	33
2	Cigand SE	13	10	2	1	25	32
3	DEAC	13	8	2	3	14	26
4	Debrecen II	13	8	1	4	10	25
5	Gödöllő	13	7	1	5	8	22
6	Kisvárda II	13	5	6	2	6	21
7	Mátészalka	13	5	5	3	6	20
8	Diósgyőr II	13	5	4	4	3	19
9	Tiszaújváros	13	5	2	6	-3	17
10	Füzesabony	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Eger	13	5	2	6	-12	17
12	Hajdúnánás	13	4	1	8	-17	13
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	13	4	0	9	-11	12
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	13	3	1	9	-13	10
15	Tarpa	13	3	0	10	-20	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	1	1	11	-24	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Debrecen II win, at 52.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.