Debrecen II vs Nyiregyhaza II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Debrecen II and 1.40 for Nyiregyhaza II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Debrecen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Debrecen II win

63.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Debrecen II home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nyiregyhaza II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Debrecen II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Debrecen II and 1.40 for Nyiregyhaza II, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Debrecen II win63%

Draw18%

Nyiregyhaza II win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

2–18.7%
3–17.5%
1–16.7%
2–06.2%
2–26.1%

Recent form

Debrecen II

2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 2-5 (L)

Nyiregyhaza II

2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Cigand SE · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-03-29T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 5-1 Nyiregyhaza II (NB III - Northeast)
2025-09-07T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 3-3 Nyiregyhaza II (NB III - Northeast)
2025-04-20T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-0 Nyiregyhaza II (NB III - Northeast)
2024-10-06T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-3 Nyiregyhaza II (NB III - Northeast)

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	12	10	0	2	28	30
2	Cigand SE	12	9	2	1	22	29
3	DEAC	12	8	2	2	17	26
4	Debrecen II	12	7	1	4	9	22
5	Kisvárda II	12	5	6	1	7	21
6	Diósgyőr II	12	5	4	3	6	19
7	Gödöllő	12	6	1	5	4	19
8	Mátészalka	12	4	5	3	2	17
9	Eger	12	5	2	5	-11	17
10	Tiszaújváros	12	5	1	6	-3	16
11	Füzesabony	12	5	1	6	-3	16
12	Tiszafuredi VSE	12	3	1	8	-12	10
13	Hajdúnánás	12	3	1	8	-18	10
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	12	3	0	9	-12	9
15	Tarpa	12	3	0	9	-16	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	12	1	1	10	-20	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Debrecen II win, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.