Debreceni Egyetemi AC Stadion · Analysis updated 16:27 UTC
Debrecen II vs Putnok VSE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Debrecen II and 1.30 for Putnok VSE, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Debrecen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Debrecen II win
50.9% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Debrecen II home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Putnok VSE away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.6%
Recent form
Debrecen II
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisvárda II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-1 (W)
Putnok VSE
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Eger · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Hatvan · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tarpa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-04-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 5-1 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2025-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 3-1 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2025-05-04T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-0 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2024-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-3 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2023-11-26T12:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-0 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2023-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-4 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2023-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-2 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2022-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 3-0 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2022-04-24T15:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-1 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2021-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-1 Putnok VSE (NB III - Northeast)
NB III - Northeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 33 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | DEAC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Debrecen II | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Gödöllő | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | Kisvárda II | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Mátészalka | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Diósgyőr II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tiszaújváros | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Füzesabony | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Eger | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 17 |
| 12 | Hajdúnánás | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 13 |
| 13 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Debrecen II win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.