· Analysis updated 12:47 UTC
Debrecen II vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Debrecen II and 1.28 for Tiszafuredi VSE, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Debrecen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Debrecen II win
54.7% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Debrecen II home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tiszafuredi VSE away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.5%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–16.5%
Recent form
Debrecen II
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 2-5 (L)
Tiszafuredi VSE
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Mátészalka · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-08T13:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 3-1 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2025-08-17T09:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2025-03-22T10:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2024-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-3 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2024-05-26T15:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2023-11-22T12:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 1-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2023-04-26T15:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-0 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2022-10-30T12:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 5-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2022-02-27T13:00:00.000Z · Debrecen II 0-1 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
- 2021-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · Debrecen II 2-3 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
NB III - Northeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 33 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | DEAC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Debrecen II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Gödöllő | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | Kisvárda II | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Mátészalka | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Diósgyőr II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tiszaújváros | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Füzesabony | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Eger | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 17 |
| 12 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -11 | 12 |
| 13 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 14 | Hajdúnánás | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 10 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Debrecen II win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.