Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Debreceni VSC and 1.41 for Pyunik Yerevan, a combined total of 2.52. That distribution gives Pyunik Yerevan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.3% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.41

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Debreceni VSC win30%

Draw27%

Pyunik Yerevan win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.6%
0–111.3%
1–08.9%
1–28.9%
0–08.0%

Why the model likes this

Debreceni VSC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pyunik Yerevan away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pyunik Yerevan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 30% / 27% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Debreceni VSC and 1.41 for Pyunik Yerevan, a combined 2.52 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Debreceni VSC

2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen · 1-5 (L)
2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-02T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ujpest · 2-4 (L)

Pyunik Yerevan

2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Van · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Urartu · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Debreceni VSC · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Debreceni VSC · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marsaxlokk · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.