Nagyerdei Stadion · Analysis updated 03:34 UTC
Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Debreceni VSC and 1.05 for Zalaegerszegi TE, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Debreceni VSC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Debreceni VSC win
54.9% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Debreceni VSC home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zalaegerszegi TE away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–16.1%
Recent form
Debreceni VSC
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vasas · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Paks · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs MTK Budapest · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kisvarda FC · 0-0 (D)
Zalaegerszegi TE
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ujpest · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunaharaszti MTK · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Budapest Honved · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO FC · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-22T13:45:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2025-11-02T17:00:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2025-07-26T15:45:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 3-3 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2025-04-19T11:15:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 4-3 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2024-12-14T13:30:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 1-2 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2024-08-31T15:45:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 3-1 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2024-03-17T11:30:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 5-1 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2023-11-25T16:00:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2023-08-13T14:30:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
- 2023-04-23T16:45:00.000Z · Debreceni VSC 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I)
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyori ETO FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Debreceni VSC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Vasas | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Debreceni VSC win, at 54.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.